Thursday 21 April 2011

Killer Arguments Against LVT, Not (115)

Sobers' comment on the fact that homes and gardens only take up 3.5 per cent of the UK's surface area:

And this supports your argument that housing is zero-sum, and me owning a particular house stops you from owning a similar one how precisely?

Looks to me as if there's more than enough land for everyone to have a reasonably priced house if only the government would let people build them... no need for LVT whatsoever, problem solved.


To which I responded:

S, come off it.

a) As you know perfectly well there's no point building houses out in the middle of nowhere, they are best built in or around existing towns and cities where there are jobs etc, and there is by definition a restricted amount of such land.

b) If you liberalise planning laws, then yes, at the very margin* house prices might drop but there will still be big differences between a marginal plot and land in the centre of towns and cities, near the stations, with a nice view etc (so the rationale for LVT still holds).

c) If you liberalise planning laws, then all things being equal, the total rental value of UK land goes UP (even though house prices at the margin go DOWN), therefore tax base for LVT goes UP and therefore the % rate we'd need to raise £x00 billion a year to replace all other taxes goes DOWN.

d) Thus with or without planning restrictions, all the arguments for replacing income tax with Land Value Tax still hold.

* And those people who buy a house at the margin will only pay very little LVT, but we've already got plenty of marginal housing in the UK, as Jer points out further down that thread.

10 comments:

Old BE said...

What's interesting is that there are plenty of marginal markets very close to London. Dartford, for example, where you can pick up a 2-bed for under £100k.

I think this shows that your theory of location-premium to be correct.

What we probably need as an economy is better transport and more freedom to build at higher densities in the small areas where supply really does outstrip demand.

AntiCitizenOne said...

Dartford has quite good links into London Bridge.

Mark Wadsworth said...

BE, that's it! I'm off to Dartford.

Better transport is always good, but for every minute by which commute times to London are reduced is another £2,000 on the cost of the house.

Higher densities also good (so we protect the HGB) but then the urban NIMBYs wail about 'garden grabbing', and, all things being equal, land values in urban areas then rise even faster.

Old BE said...

ACO - it does which is why I really don't "get" why it is so relatively cheap.

Sobers said...

A) There is no need to build houses 'in the middle of nowhere' - there's hundreds of thousands of acres of farm land within a 5-10 minute drive of most urban areas.

B) A huge number of people (all things being equal) would prefer to live outside of town centres, in more rural/suburban locations if they could.

C) The UK is so small (in relative terms) that virtually no-where is THAT far from 'civilisation' (and I bet there would be plenty of people who would actually like to live well away from the 'benefits' of modern urban dwelling).

D) You are typically London-centric in your views - not everyone lives in London you know.

chefdave said...

Sobers still doesn't address the fact that all this land comes with owners attached, if it's granted planning it'll shoot up to market price and then we're back to square one.

3.5% of land may only be used for residential property but 100% of it is owned. Non-owners won't be able to enjoy it without first gaining permission from the landlord.

Sobers said...

@chefdave: no planning permission needed. Get the State out of planning entirely. As long as you comply with building regs and a few basic rules (ie you can't build within x feet of your neighbours property, and the usual common law prescription of if you do something that causes another loss or damage you are liable) then you can build ANYWHERE. All you have to do is buy a plot (cost c. £10K I reckon) and get digging. There'd be plenty of landowners selling plots, believe you me.

chefdave said...

Sobers, the cost of a plot of land is depenent upon it's location. So on a flood plain in Hull it might be worth £0, but in Kensington it'll be worth many time your £10k estimate.

Removing planning gifts the owners a windfall gain, in many cases this is exactly what they've been holding out for for years! So the net effect is to transfer these powers from the state to the landowning cartel, nothing gets done or built without their express permission so in effect they become the new state.

Thes best way of dealing with this so they don't hold us to ransom? A land tax. If introducd properly it'll reduce all land to £0 giving new owners more money to spend back into the economy.

AntiCitizenOne said...

An LVT is the ONLY way to reduce tax!

All other tax reductions will just increase privately collected LV (an effective tax).

Mark Wadsworth said...

S, you and I appear to agree that planning laws are too strict. However, with or without planning restrictions, LVT is still the best tax.

CD, ta for back up.

AC1, agreed. "All taxes come out of rent" as they say.